NFL Playoff Picture: Postseason Probabilities Entering Week 11 of 2024 Season
AFC Playoff Picture
The Kansas City Chiefs remain the leaders of the AFC, holding an 8-2 record with a 98% chance of making the playoffs and a 73% chance of winning the AFC West. In second place, the Buffalo Bills are close on their tail with a 7-3 record and a 91% likelihood of making the playoffs.
The remaining playoff spots are still up for grabs, with the Cincinnati Bengals (6-4), Baltimore Ravens (6-4), New York Jets (6-4), and Miami Dolphins (6-4) all tied for the final Wild Card spots. The Tennessee Titans (5-5) and Jacksonville Jaguars (4-6) are still in the playoff hunt, but their chances are dwindling.
NFC Playoff Picture
In the NFC, the Philadelphia Eagles remain the top dog with an 8-2 record and a 97% chance of making the playoffs and an 82% chance of winning the NFC East. The Minnesota Vikings (7-3) are in second place with a 90% chance of making the playoffs, followed by the San Francisco 49ers (6-4) with an 82% chance of making the playoffs.
The remaining playoff spots are still very much up for grabs, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5), Dallas Cowboys (5-5), New York Giants (5-5), and Washington Commanders (5-5) all tied for the final Wild Card spots. The Green Bay Packers (4-6) and Los Angeles Rams (3-7) are still mathematically alive in the playoff race, but their chances are very slim.
Key Games in Week 11
- Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills: The top two teams in the AFC face off in a huge matchup that could have major implications for the playoff seeding. The Bills are coming off a bye week, while the Chiefs are coming off a tough loss to the Titans. This game will be a good test for both teams.
- Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts: The Eagles are looking to stay undefeated on the road this season, while the Colts are looking to stay in the playoff hunt. The Colts have a tough defense, but the Eagles' offense is one of the best in the league. This game will be a good test for both teams.
- Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: The Bengals are looking to keep pace with the Bills and Chiefs in the AFC, while the Steelers are looking to stay in the playoff hunt. The Steelers have a tough defense, but the Bengals' offense is one of the most explosive in the league. This game will be a good test for both teams.
Playoff Implications
The results of Week 11 will have major implications for the playoff picture in both the AFC and NFC. The Chiefs and Eagles are looking to secure their division titles and the top seeds in their respective conferences. The remaining playoff spots are still very much up for grabs, and several teams are in contention for a Wild Card berth. This week's games will be crucial in determining which teams make the playoffs and which teams are left on the outside looking in.
